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12-1 Month Momentum

Price return over the past year, skipping the most recent month.

Formula

t-statistic of the price return from 231 to 21 trading days ago (skips the most recent ~month)

Interpretation

Stocks that outperformed over the past year, excluding the most recent month, have historically kept outperforming over the following months — the classic momentum anomaly.

What good looks like

A strong, statistically significant positive reading — sustained outperformance over the lookback.

What bad looks like

A strong negative reading — sustained underperformance.

Typical range

Z-scored and capped at roughly ±3; most stocks sit within ±1.5.

Limitations

Momentum can reverse sharply in a regime change (a rate-cut pivot, a sector rotation) — the factor reacts to that once it shows in price, it cannot anticipate it.

How OmniSignal uses it

One of the most extensively documented and persistent equity anomalies; skipping the most recent month specifically removes the short-term reversal effect the model captures as its own separate factor.

Where it enters the score

Momentum family

References

Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers"

Related concepts

3-Month Momentum1-Month Momentum (timing)Volume Confirmation52-Week-High ProximityRelative Strength vs. SPY